Members’ Publications

The contribution of anthropogenic forcing to the Japanese heat waves of 2013

Authors
Imada Y., Shiogama H., Watanabe M., Mori M., Kamae Y., Ishii M., Kimoto M.
Journal
In “Explaining Extreme Events of 2013 from a Climate Perspective", Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(9), S52-S54.
DOI
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Abstract

The 2013 heat wave in Japan was mainly caused by probabilistic atmospheric natural variability, but anthropogenic climate change played a significant role in raising the chance of the heat wave occurring. We emphasize that the increase of heat wave probability in East Asia is not simply a result of an increase in surrounding SST, but it is also potentially affected by atmospheric circulation changes forced remotely by western tropical Pacific warming.